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October 17, 2024: TNF best bets: Is it time for Estime?

We kicked off the week by cashing tickets of +500 and +600 on "Monday Night Football." With another primetime NFL game coming up, we're getting the plus-money itch again.

Today's picks and sports betting news you need to know
 
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TNF best bets: Is it time for Estime?

Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

We kicked off the week by cashing tickets of +500 and +600 on "Monday Night Football." With another primetime NFL game coming up, we're getting the plus-money itch again. Let's target another pair of juicy prop bets for "Thursday Night Football" between the Denver Broncos and the New Orleans Saints.

Audric Estime anytime touchdown scorer (+700 DraftKings)

After cashing in on Dawson Knox to score a touchdown on "MNF," we're going right back to the well with Estime at a similar price. This is mostly a bet against Javonte Williams and Jaleel McLaughlin, who have both been ineffective as runners this season. Williams and McLaughlin have combined for 329 rushing yards on 95 carries (3.5 YPC) and only one rushing score so far.

Sean Payton is ready to shake things up, as he specifically mentioned after last week's 23-16 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. "We have to see these guys. We are a young team. I want to see this runner as well. I want to see Estime," Payton told reporters. This backfield is there for the taking, and Estime could be given the chance to steal it this week. 

Bub Means 60+ receiving yards (+350 FanDuel)

What is this Saints passing game going to look like without Derek Carr, Chris Olave and Rashid Shaheed? No one truly knows, which gives us an opportunity to take a shot on one of these backup wide receivers.

Means played 71 percent of the team's offensive snaps after Olave went down last week, and he immediately connected with Spencer Rattler. The rookie wideout saw eight targets and turned them into five catches for 45 yards and a touchdown. Means has likely been working closely with Rattler on the second-team offense all year, so he has a good chance to operate as the No. 1 wideout on Thursday night. 

In the news ...

Dodgers blank Mets to take 2-1 series in NLCS — What a performance from the Los Angeles Dodgers on the road. The Dodgers smoked the New York Mets, 8-0, in Game 3 to take a 2-1 lead in the NLCS. Shohei Ohtani, Kike Hernandez and Max Muncy all hit home runs, and five pitchers combined to throw a four-hit shutout. The Dodgers are now -360 to win the NLCS and advance to the World Series.

Sabrina Ionescu drills deep game-winner to give Liberty a 2-1 lead — The New York Liberty beat the Minnesota Lynx, 80-77, in Game 3 of the WNBA Finals thanks to Sabrina Ionescu's late-game heroics. With the score tied and time winding down, Ionescu stepped back and drained a logo 3-pointer with one second on the clock. With the Liberty one win away from the title, Ionescu is +600 to win WNBA Finals MVP.

Lonzo Ball returns to the court for the first time in nearly three years — Ball made his preseason debut for the Chicago Bulls on Wednesday night, marking his first NBA action since Jan. 14, 2022. Three arthroscopic knee procedures later, and Ball is back ahead of Chicago's season debut against the New Orleans Pelicans next week. The former No. 2 pick scored 10 points on 4-of-6 shooting in his return. The Bulls are 180-1 to win the Central Division.


Today's Bark Bets is written by Jack Dougherty

Quick Picks

1 Javonte Williams under 46.5 rushing yards

If Williams is going to keep barreling into the defensive line for three yards a pop, Payton will stop feeding him the ball. Since we like Estime to see more action on "TNF," it stands to reason we think Williams' workload will decrease.

Latest Odds:  -115 DK
2 New York Yankees -0.5 first 5 innings

We like the Yanks to jump out to an early lead in Game 3 of the ALCS. In 42 combined plate appearances against Matthew Boyd, current Yankees hitters have a .329 xBA, a .428 xwOBA and a .506 xSLG.

Latest Odds:  +114 DK
3 Boston College Eagles @ Virginia Tech Hokies

Boston College isn't an easy team to blow out. The Eagles nearly upset Missouri as 15-point road underdogs, and they only lost to Virginia by 10 due to a fluky fumble-six in the fourth quarter. BC should keep this game close. Give us the +7.5.
Thursday, 7:30 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Boston College
+7.5 (-110) +240 > 48.5 (-105)
Virginia Tech
-7.5 (-105) -275 < 48.5 (-110)
4 Edmonton Oilers @ Nashville Predators

The Oilers have been incredibly unlucky to start the season. Edmonton is 1-3 through four games, but it leads the NHL in Corsi % and ranks second in xGoals %. We'll take the Oilers on the moneyline.
Thursday, 8:00 PM Eastern SPREAD MONEY LINE OVER / UNDER
Oilers
-1 (+128) -128 > 6.5 (-105)
Predators
+1.5 (-218) +110 < 6.5 (-109)

Betting News & Notes

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For all the latest betting news, check out the
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