NFL betting: What to look for in NFL Week 7

Oddsmakers like the Rodgers-Adams reunion ...

... but does that mean you should back the Jets with your bets?

Sure, the line moved from being in favor of the hosting Steelers by 1.5 points to favoring the visiting Jets by the same margin. And sure, that happened after Gang Green acquired Adams from the Raiders. 

However, Pittsburgh is 4-2-0 ATS in 2024 and covered in their only other game this season as the underdog, per Covers. There is a lot of skepticism regarding Mike Tomlin potentially starting Russell Wilson, although the veteran is 3-1 all-time against the Jets with 76 completed passes for 899 yards and an 11-1 TD-INT ratio, per StatMuse.

Meanwhile, the Jets are 2-4-0 ATS and have failed to cover in each of their last three games, all of which have also been losses. 

And as for Rodgers connecting with Adams? That could be difficult with how hard the veteran gunslinger is being hit. He ranks sixth among all QBs after being sacked 16 times this season -- three sacks and five hits in Week 6 alone -- and is about to go up against a very physical T.J. Watt-led defense. (Not to mention the third-ranked redzone defense in the league.)

You may be psyched to see what Rodgers and Adams will accomplish in their the first game of their Reunion Tour. However, backing the Jets in any fashion this week doesn't seem like the right call.

Sportsbooks also like the 49ers in the Super Bowl rematch ...

... which is interesting given that the Chiefs are the undefeated team coming out of a bye week and San Francisco won't have Christian McCaffrey for the revenge game. And, as we discussed earlier in the week, Patrick Mahomes is 11-1-1 ATS as an underdog going back to last season.

That being said, Brock Purdy has arguably been more productive this season and tops Mahomes in in total yards, yards per game and touchdowns in 2024. The 49ers as a whole are a top-5 team offensively across multiple categories, which the Chiefs are not. 

Kansas City has, nevertheless, been opportunistic this season to stay 5-0, which makes wagering on this game more interesting. So, while the 49ers are 1.5-point favorites at DraftKings ahead of the rematch, you may want to back some offense-centric props instead.

Purdy is priced at +170 to throw 275-plus passing yards — he has eclipsed 230 yards in every game this season — and at +370 to throw three TD passes or more. Mahomes is listed at +130 to throw for 250-plus yards, which he has done twice this season. 

Running back Jordan Mason (shoulder) is the +550 favorite at DK to score the first touchdown of Sunday's game, although you should hold off on backing him until he's cleared to play in Sunday's game. 

Meanwhile, in the NFC North ...

The Lions-Vikings matchup is a must-watch given how well both teams have played leading up to this game. 

The test will be whether Minnesota still has that fire after their bye week, and whether Detroit can contain an unforgiving offense without Aidan Hutchinson. 

So, who should you back here?

The Vikings are the 2.5-point favorites ahead of Sunday's showdown. However, there is an overwhelming sense that the Lions will hand Kevin O'Connell's team it's first loss of the season.

"I think the key here is Detroit’s offensive line, one of the league’s best," Lorenzo Reyes of USA Today writes. "I think the Lions can handle the pressure the Vikings bring, and I’m not so sure Minnesota can withstand the pressure Detroit is able to bring, even without Aidan Hutchinson."

Iain MacMillan of Sports Illustrated has a similar take: "As elite as their defense has been, the Vikings offense has been average by most measures. They're 15th in yards per play (5.5) and 14th in EPA per play. An average offensive performance in this game may not be enough to keep pace with the Lions' offense."

Before you wager on the Colts-Dolphins game ...

... get an update on Jonathan Taylor.

Indy's RB1 has yet to practice since sustaining an ankle injury, but has given positive updates on his health. His presence would certainly give Joe Flacco — or Anthony Richardson — another weapon against Miami.

The Dolphins are nowhere near as explosive without Tua Tagovailoa. However, that offense will be going up against the third-worst defense in the NFL. 

Long story short: Taylor gives the Colts a better chance of covering the 3-point spread in Week 7.