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Spencer Rattler #18 of the New Orleans Saints. Photo by Perry Knotts/Getty Images

Broncos vs. Saints picks, odds, spread: 'Thursday Night Football' predictions

Originally posted on Action Network | By Alex Kolodziej | Last updated 10/16/24

Sharps and NFL experts are aligned on a best bet to open Week 7 when Sean Payton returns to New Orleans.

"Thursday Night Football" sets up a unique spot between the Denver Broncos and New Orleans Saints. Scheduled to kick off at 8:15 p.m. on Oct. 17, the matchup features a banged-up Saints club — and one that looks a lot different than the unit that started the season 2-0 in flying colors.

The Broncos, led by quarterback Bo Nix, boast a 3-3 record, while the Saints, spotlighted by running back Alvin Kamara, are looking to break a four-game drought.

Oddsmakers have set the spread with the Broncos -3, and the total over/under line is pegged at 37 points.

Both teams are heading into this matchup with plenty to prove, offering intriguing opportunities for bettors.

Broncos vs. Saints Odds, Picks, Predictions

Thursday, Oct 17
8:15 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video

Broncos Odds

Spread

Total

Moneyline

-3 -102

37 -110o / -110u

-145

Saints Odds

Spread

Total

Moneyline

+3 -118

37 -110o / -110u

+125

Broncos vs. Saints spread: Broncos -3
Broncos vs. Saints over/under: 37
Broncos vs. Saints moneyline: Broncos -145, Saints +125

Spread

The Broncos are favored by 2.5 or 3 points depending on the shop.

Over/Under

The over/under is set at 37 points, which marks the lowest of any Week 7 over/under.

Moneyline

The moneyline is Broncos -145, Saints +125.

Prop

Saints QB Spencer Rattler’s passing attempts line is set at over/under 28.5 (-115) for Thursday Night Football. Action PRO models tab Rattler for 29.5 attempts, presenting a 2.6% edge.

As always, PRO Projections recommend at least a 3.5% grade on plays and props before tailing. Check out what our NFL experts have cooking for NFL props in Week 7 after cashing +14.2 units on touchdown picks last week.

Point Spread

PRO reveals split opinions on the Broncos vs. Saints spread.

Big money and sharp action favor the Broncos, who have taken money this week. However, with the move up from Broncos -1.5 all the way up to -3, PRO Projections now show value on the Saints against the spread; we make New Orleans +1.1.

Total

Here’s where the value’s at.

Big Money, Sharp Action, and Top Experts are all live, marking one of the strongest picks in NFL Week 7.

The lowest over/under of any Week 7 is attracting a bulk of PRO insights. Our top experts are locking the Broncos-Saints under, with support added by sharp- and big-money indicators.

Odds to Win

On the moneyline, PRO Projections suggest New Orleans, +128 on the moneyline, should be closer to +111.

Our PRO Picks

It’s clear the total (under 37) is where the value lies based on the convergence of three PRO tools.

Saints vs. Broncos Weather

Saints vs. Broncos is played in a dome.

Saints vs. Broncos Betting Trends

Here are some neat trends courtesy of betting researcher Evan Abrams:

➤In Nix’s early career as a starter, he is 3-0 ATS on the road, covering the spread by 11.5 PPG.

➤Saints head coach Dennis Allen is 1-10 SU on short rest in his NFL career, including 0-4 SU at home.

Our PRO signals flag far more great picks than our staff could author each day — that’s where Action AI comes in. Using generative AI, signals that hit a high grade threshold are written up into articles that are then vetted and edited by a human to help us get you all the sharp action. Read more about how it works here.

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